Work

Long-Term Passenger Flow Forecasting for Rail Transit Based on Complex Networks and Informer

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: With the continuous growth of urbanization, passenger flow in urban rail transit systems is steadily increasing, making accurate long-term forecasting essential for optimizing operational scheduling and enhancing service quality. However, passenger flow forecasting becomes increasingly complex due to the intricate structure of rail transit networks and external factors such as seasonal variations. To address these challenges, this paper introduces an optimized Informer model for long-term forecasting that incorporates the influences of other stations based on complex network theory. Compared to the ARIMA, LSTM, and Transformer models, this optimized Informer model excels in processing large-scale complex transit data, particularly in terms of long-term forecasting accuracy and capturing network dependencies. The results demonstrate that this forecasting approach, which integrates complex network theory with the Informer model, significantly improves the accuracy and efficiency of long-term passenger flow predictions, providing robust decision support for urban rail transit planning and management.

Source: Sensors

DOI: 10.3390/s24216894

Authors: Dekui Li, Shubo Du, Yuru Hou

Institution: Liaocheng University

Language: English

Topic: Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques

Subfield: Building and Construction

Field: Engineering

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDGs: Industry, innovation and infrastructure, Sustainable cities and communities

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,955