A New Condition for Agglomeration in Bayesian Confirmation
Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: Bayesian confirmation does not generally agglomerate over conjunction. That is, whenever a piece of evidence $E$ confirms two hypotheses ${H_1}$ and ${H_2}$ individually, it does not follow that $E$ also confirms them conjunctively. Here, I present a condition under which the latter does follow from the former. But this new condition reveals a surprising fact: Bayesian confirmation agglomerates over conjunction whenever the evidence in question also confirms that both target hypotheses are false.
Source: Philosophy of Science
DOI: 10.1017/psa.2024.47
Author: Jakob Koscholke
Institution: Goethe University Frankfurt
Language: English
Subfield: Philosophy
Field: Arts and Humanities
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,450
OpenAlex ID: W4404084010