Drivers’ long-term crash risks associated with being ticketed for speeding
Year: 2024
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: • This research links crash records with police records of tickets issued for speeding through a national register of drivers. • The results show that those with speeding tickets have an increased likelihood of later crash involvement. • The odds of a crash are higher for those accumulating two tickets over two years than for those with excess breath alcohol. Introduction : This research analyzes the relationship between police-issued tickets for speeding and the crash risk of those drivers, in New Zealand, between 2015–2019. Method : The main data are constructed through data-matching license details of crash outcomes with all officer-issued tickets for speeding between 2015–2016 (N = 534,935). The sub-group of drivers that accumulate tickets is compared to a coarsened exact matched set of drivers of the same age. Results: There is a strong relationship between the number of tickets a person has in a two-year period (2015–16) and the likelihood of a crash outcome (2017–2019). However, the accumulation of tickets is not the best predictor of crash likelihood. A combination of the excess in speed and the accumulation of tickets increases the relative odds of a subsequent crash. These results are discussed considering the threshold at which New Zealand criminalizes alcohol-relating offending (notionally 4.2 times the base rate crash risk). The same rate of elevated crash risk exists when a driver has one ticket for being 10 km/h over the speed limit and has another speeding ticket within two years.
Source: Journal of Safety Research
Authors: Darren Walton, Ross Hendy
Institutions: University of Canterbury, New Zealand Police, Monash University
Language: English
Topic: Traffic and Road Safety
Subfield: Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Field: Engineering
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,220
OpenAlex ID: W4404144081