Surg-21. Development and Validation of a Clinical Risk Score for Postoperative Outcome in Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma: a Report of the Ranoresect Group
Year: 2024
Type: conference-abstract
Abstract: BACKGROUND Following resection or biopsy, patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma frequently enter clinical trials. Nuanced risk assessment is warranted to reduce imbalances between study arms. Here, we aim to make use of our RANO classification for extent of resection (I) to analyze the interactive effects of residual tumor with clinical and molecular factors on outcome and (II) to define a postoperative risk assessment tool. METHODS The RANO resect group retrospectively compiled an international, seven-center training cohort of patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma. The combined associations of residual tumor with molecular or clinical factors and survival were analyzed, and recursive partitioning analysis was performed for risk modeling. The resulting model was prognostically verified in a separate external validation cohort. RESULTS Our training cohort compromised 1003 patients with newly diagnosed IDH-wildtype glioblastoma, including 744 patients who underwent adjuvant radiochemotherapy (TMZ/RT→TMZ). Residual tumor, MGMT promotor methylation status, age, and KPS were prognostic of overall survival and forwarded into regression tree analysis. By combining eleven terminal nodes and individually weighting the prognostic factors, an additive scale (range, 0-9 points) integrating these four variables distinguished patients with low (0-2 points), intermediate (3-5 points), and high risk (6-9 points) for poor postoperative outcome (median overall survival: 24 vs. 16 vs. 6 months; p<0.01). The presence of the three risk groups was confirmed in the subgroups of patients treated with or without RT/TMZ→TMZ. The prognostic value of the risk score was verified in a external single-center validation cohort of newly diagnosed glioblastoma (n = 258, p<0.01). Compared to previously postulated models, goodness-of-fit measurements were superior for our score. CONCLUSIONS The novel RANO risk score serves as an easy-to-use, yet highly prognostic tool for postoperative patient stratification prior to further therapy. The score may serve to guide patient management and reduce imbalances between study arms in prospective trials.
Source: Neuro-Oncology
Authors: Philipp Karschnia, Jacob S Young, Gilbert C Youssef, Antonio Dono, Levin Häni, Tommaso Sciortino, Francesco Bruno, Stephanie T Juenger, Nico Teske, Jorg Dietrich, Michael Weller, Michael A Vogelbaum, Martin van den Bent, Juergen Beck, Niklas Thon, Jasper K W Gerritsen, Shawn Hervey-Jumper, Daniel P Cahill, Susan M Chang, Roberta Rudà, Lorenzo Bello, Oliver Schnell, Yoshua Esquenazi, Maximilian I Ruge, Stefan J Grau, Raymond Y Huang, Patrick Y Wen, Mitchel S Berger, Annette M Molinaro, Joerg-Christian Tonn
Institutions: LMU Klinikum, Deutsches Konsortium für Translationale Krebsforschung, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, University of San Francisco, Harvard University, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, University of Freiburg, University Hospital of Bern, University Medical Center Freiburg, University of Milan, University of Turin, University of Cologne, Massachusetts General Hospital, University of Zurich, University Hospital Zurich, Moffitt Cancer Center, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Klinikum Fulda, Brigham and Women's Hospital
Language: English
Subfield: Genetics
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4404237569