Work

Net Migration By Age: The Flow-Difference Approach for Estimation and Forecasting

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: We present the flow-difference method to disaggregate total net migration by age. It models the age-specific flows of in-migration and out-migration to derive age-specific net migration, even in the absence of data on such flows. We show that the resulting net migration predictions are greatly improved over existing methods that model only the net migration totals.

Source: Demography

DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12901523

Authors: Hana Ševčíková, James Raymer, Adrian E. Raftery

Institutions: University of Washington, Australian National University

Language: English

Topic: Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

Subfield: Demography

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,750

OpenAlex ID: W4404569198

FWCI: 20.65

Cites: 1

Cited by: 3

Related to: 10