Applying La Prospective to Long-Term Planning of the Local Arrangement of Gems, Jewelry, Mineral Crafts and Tourism in the Municipality of Cristalina/Brazil
Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: The Cristalina 2040 Project aims to develop the prospective process for the sustainable development of the local Productive Cluster of Gems, Jewelry, Mineral Crafts, and Tourism in the Municipality of Cristalina, State of Goiás, Brazil. The prospective process allows for long-term planning and strategy formulation, adapting resources to face adversities and opportunities. Six steps, based on the developments of Berger (1958), Giget (1989), Godet (2001a, 2001b), De Jouvenel (2010), Aulicino (2006), and Aulicino & Fischmann (2020), were carried out: situational analysis, structural analysis, competency trees, morphological analysis, scenario building, and evaluation of the prospective process through results and impacts. The strategy implementation is ongoing and includes the following results: (i) Organization of the local mineral Productive Cluster Network (PCN); (ii) Enrich the mindset of interested parties with knowledge about the Prospective Process for Mineral-Based PCNs through a training-action process; (iii) Workshops for sharing ideas, future scenarios, and action creation; (iv) Appropriation by civil society of knowledge about the construction of scenarios that facilitate the achievement of the desired future scenario; (v) Involvement and support of public authorities; (vi) Documentation and reports for accountability purposes; (vii) Dissemination of the project through an E-book on the Prospective Process; (viii) 19.5% of actions (15 out of a total of 77 strategic actions proposed) in implementation; and (ix) Economic, social, and environmental impacts being annually evaluated (last consolidated results by December 2023). Keywords: Prospective process, long-term planning, appropriation, governance, Local Productive Arrangement, scenarios, building the future.
Source: Athens Journal of Tourism
DOI: 10.30958/ajt.11-4-3
Authors: Clarice MO Kobayashi, Sumaya SAC Neves, Fernando MR Marques, Hércules A do Prado, Edilson Ferneda
Language: English
Subfield: Development
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: diamond
OpenAlex ID: W4404847580