Work

Quantifying the health impact of PM2.5 with various chemical transport models and for different years − A case study for Poland

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: exceeds 22,000 deaths for all model runs and meteorological years considered, with the lowest estimate at 22,447 (WRF-Chem model run for the year 2017; 95 % confidence intervals CI (95 % CI) 17121-25045) and the highest at 29,227 (95 % CI 22343 - 32572; EMEP4PL for the year 2018). These numbers are underestimated, as both CTMs underestimate the measured PM2.5 concentrations at site locations. The underestimation is the highest during the heating seasons and can be reduced if the emission of primary PM2.5 from residential combustion increases. The total number of estimated premature deaths is sensitive to chemical transport model selection and meteorological year. The selection of the meteorological year for the analysis may change the estimated number of premature deaths by 10 %. This change is significant compared to the estimated change in health impact due to the envisaged implementation of the Clean Air Program in Poland.

Source: Environment International

DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.109179

Authors: Maciej Kryza, Małgorzata Werner, Michael Holland, Helen ApSimon

Institutions: University of Wrocław, Imperial College London

Language: English

Topic: Air Quality and Health Impacts

Subfield: Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDGs: Good health and well-being, Climate action

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $3,980