Work

Short-Term Water Supply Forecasting for Water Treatment Plant Using Temporal Multi-Scale Features

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: Forecasting the water supply of a water treatment plant is an important management and decision-making task in the water treatment system. Currently, most studies in this field do not consider the problems brought about by the time scale when selecting the input feature set. Therefore, this study explores how to select the relevant input feature set and model for the ultra-short-term water demand forecasting (UWDF) of water treatment plants from the perspective of time multi-scale features, in order to provide more accurate and effective water supply planning for water treatment plants. This study uses feature engineering to analyze the importance of relevant features affecting water supply, and compares and analyzes the predictive capabilities of seven deep learning models. The experimental results show that the time multi-scale features (TMFs) extracted from the historical water supply data play an important role in the prediction of ultra-short-term water supply, and the LSTM model performs better in the prediction task, with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 5.3530% and a goodness-of-fit (R2) of 0.9981. This study provides an effective method for intelligent operation and maintenance in the field of water treatment, and has broad application prospects.

Source: Water

DOI: 10.3390/w16243573