Work

Lifetime risk of developing and dying from cancer in Henan Province, China: current status, temporal trends, and disparities

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: Objective: To understand the current status and changing trends in the lifetime risk of residents in Henan Province, China to develop and die from cancer. Methods: Lifetime risk was estimated using the Adjusted for Multiple Primaries (AMP) method, incorporating cancer incidence, mortality, and all-cause mortality data from 55 cancer registries in Henan Province, China. Estimates were calculated overall and stratified by gender and area. The annual percent change (APC) in lifetime risk from 2010 to 2020, stratified by gender and cancer site, was estimated using a log-linear model. Results: < 0.05). Varying trends were observed across different cancer sites. There were gradual decreases in nasopharynx, esophagus, stomach, and liver cancers. Conversely, increasing trends were noted for most other sites, with the highest APCs observed in thyroid, prostate, lymphoma, kidney, and gallbladder cancers. Conclusion: The lifetime risks of developing and dying from cancer were 30.19 % and 23.62 %, respectively. Variations in cancer risk across different regions, genders, specific cancer sites, and over calendar years provide important information for cancer prevention and policy making in the population.

Source: Journal of the National Cancer Center

DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.11.005