Work

A Predictive Approach to Assessing Microcephaly Risk in Zika Virus (ZIKV) Exposure

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: A mathematical model based on integral equations has been developed and analyzed, which transforms into a dynamical system of nonlinear differential equations to assess the risk of microcephaly caused by the Zika virus. The model specifically considers a group of susceptible pregnant women. The epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number) was determined using the next-generation matrix method. Sensitivity analysis was conducted on the threshold with respect to each parameter. Lastly, multiple system simulations were performed to evaluate the incidence of exposure.

Source: International Journal on Science and Technology

DOI: 10.71097/ijsat.v16.i1.1844

Authors: Jitendra Rajbhar -, Prof. A.K. Jaiswal -

Institutions: Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gorakhpur University, St. Andrew's College

Language: English

Topic: Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Subfield: Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

Field: Medicine

Domain: Health Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: hybrid

OpenAlex ID: W4407627585