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Business cycle asynchrony in European countries: a nonlinear panel data analysis

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: This study employs a Nonlinear Asynchronous Multilevel Smooth Transition Panel (NAML-STP) model to investigate the asynchrony of economic cycles among European Union countries. Utilizing GDP data from 27 EU nations, the research reveals significant nonlinear characteristics and sequential differences in the timing of exiting economic contraction phases. The findings highlight the importance of understanding economic cycle asynchrony for global economic governance, risk prevention, and policy formulation.
Authors: Ruiwen Ma, Jin Zeng
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W4407947684
FWCI:
Cites: 12
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Related to: 10