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Understanding the organizing scales of winter flood hydroclimatology and the associated drivers over the coterminous United States

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: • Winter flood hydroclimatology of the CONUS is explored at different spatial scales. • Winter flood is influenced by hydroclimate modulators at a subregional scale. • Antecedent wetness dominates winter flood variability in inland regions. • Oceanic/atmospheric conditions affect the subregional variability of winter floods. Floods occur everywhere and in every season. Yet, most studies have focused only on annual maximum floods (AMFs), their climatology, and the associated impacts. Given that monthly/seasonal floods also cause significant damage and disruptions to daily life, this study may be the first to explore winter flood hydroclimatology, a predominantly a non-AMF season, and its associated large-scale climate drivers over the Coterminous US (CONUS). Using a mixed-effects model, we find that the influence of various hydroclimate predictors on winter floods is largely consistent within subregions. Antecedent land-surface conditions are crucial for winter floods in inland areas, while the Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) significantly affects coastal watersheds. The Atlantic SSTs impact winter floods in the south and northeast, while atmospheric conditions influence the Midwest and California. Additional analysis reveals that damage from winter floods is more widespread compared to AMFs across the nation, affecting the entire eastern seaboard, Southwest US, and over the Great Lakes region. Thus, a comprehensive understanding of floods across all seasons (non-AMFs) is critical for developing effective mitigation measures, as it provides information on impacts and required compensation for smaller return period floods.
DOI: 10.1016/j.hydroa.2025.100200
Language: English
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,300
OpenAlex ID: W4408145657
FWCI: 2.182
Cites: 66
Cited by: 5
Related to: 10