Climate Shocks in Vietnam, Agriculture, Migration, and Structural Transformation
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: This paper investigates how climate shocks in the agricultural sector drive migration and facilitate structural transformation, focusing on Vietnam. Utilizing panel data from 1986 to 2020, the study employs a fixed effects model to analyze the relationship between extreme climate events, such as floods and storms, and socio-economic changes. The findings reveal that the increased frequency of climate shocks significantly drives migration from rural to urban areas. Thus, carrying a notable shift in economic activity from agriculture to manufacturing and services, facilitating structural transformation in line with the Lewis Model. The analysis shows that climate-induced migration helps reallocate labor to more productive sectors, contributing to economic diversification. This research provides robust evidence of the dynamic interplay between climate variability, migration, and economic restructuring, offering valuable insights for policymakers to enhance resilience and support sustainable development in Vietnam.
Author: Zhihao Ke
Institution: Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
Language: English
Subfield: Sociology and Political Science
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W4408238664