Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Palm Oil Production in Côte d'Ivoire
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: The effects of climate change scenarios were analyzed for the central and southern oil palm production regions of Côte d'Ivoire. Temperature and precipitation variables were forecast for the periods 2021-2050 and 2041-2070, based on the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 greenhouse gas concentration scenarios, in comparison to the 1980-2010 reference period. The results indicated that, besides a considerable frequency of hot days and water scarcity, potentially threatening oil palm production in marginal sections of the Centre region, the climatic parameters suggest standard production conditions for oil palm in these two regions. The risks linked to diseases and pests could be similar or possibly mitigated. In the southern region, climatic variations seem to have no effect on oil palm production. To enhance their resilience, it is crucial to educate oil palm producers on the significance of utilizing drought-resistant planting material, adhering to good agricultural practices and implementing agroforestry techniques. Enhancing producers' access to meteorological information would also be essential.
Authors: Mahyao Germain Adolphe, Gilles Léonce Niamketchi, Hauverset Assiénin N’guessan, Bel Aurore Martine Kablan, Obed Dessan Gogoue, Christophe Bini Adou, Brou Kouame
Institution: Centre National de Recherche Agronomique
Language: English
Domain: Life Sciences
Open Access status: diamond
OpenAlex ID: W4408411009