A refracted process in options: A credit valuation application
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Borrowing from the principle of refraction in optics, we develop an option pricing model in which the underlying asset’s process changes upon touching a barrier, alongside a structural credit risk model. To achieve this, we extend the Black–Scholes and Merton models to incorporate regime shifts when a barrier is crossed. Our credit model demonstrates that if a drop in firm value below a certain threshold triggers a structural change in its policies — that in our framework is captured by a shift in the model governing its time evolution — this affects the initial value of its loans. As the policy change alters the underlying asset process, loan values decrease, and credit spreads widen. Our findings underscore the importance of accounting for regime shifts and their impact on loan pricing in dynamic market conditions. • We present a novel approach based on barrier options to model refracted processes. • A regime-shift is triggered leading to a change in the firm’s policies. • Our flexible framework is applied to the value of a loan using the firm value. • The crossing of a lower barrier entails higher risk for the lender. • The higher chance of regime changes increases credit spreads.
Source: Economics Letters
Authors: Andrew Clare, Carlos Manuel Pinheiro, Alberto Franco Pozzolo, João Miguel Reis
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,030
OpenAlex ID: W4408518980