Enhancing Wildfire Detection via Trend Estimation Under Auto-Regression Errors
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: In recent years, global weather changes have underscored the importance of wildfire detection, particularly through Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS)-based smoke detection using Deep Learning (DL) approaches. Among these, object detection algorithms like You Only Look Once version 7 (YOLOv7) have gained significant popularity due to their efficiency in identifying objects within images. However, these algorithms face limitations when applied to video feeds, as they treat each frame as an independent image, failing to track objects across consecutive frames. To address this issue, we propose a parametric Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) trend estimation algorithm that incorporates an Auto-Regressive (AR(p)) error assumption. We demonstrate that this MCMC algorithm achieves stationarity for the AR(p) model under specific constraints. Additionally, as a parametric method, the proposed algorithm can be applied to any time-related data, enabling the detection of underlying causes of trend changes for further analysis. Finally, we show that the proposed method can “stabilize” YOLOv7 detections, serving as an additional step to enhance the original algorithm’s performance.
Source: Mathematics
DOI: 10.3390/math13071046
Language: English
Subfield: Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Field: Engineering
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,137
OpenAlex ID: W4408797942