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Who has the best probabilities? Luck versus skill in prediction tournaments

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Prediction tournaments are everywhere these days. Why is it that, paradoxically, the best forecaster doesn’t always win? The statistics are relatively simple to analyse, says Niall MacKay
Source: Significance
Author: Niall MacKay
Institution: University of York
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4408983159
FWCI:
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Related to: 10