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Impact of Rural Ageing on Non-Grain Agricultural Production in China: An Analysis Based on Food Security Strategy

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: The increasing population ageing in rural China has had a far-reaching impact on agricultural production structures. However, most of the existing studies on the impact of rural ageing on NGAP are based on a micro-farmer perspective and lack consideration under macro policies. This study analyses the impact of rural ageing on NGAP within the framework of food security strategy and examines this relationship using provincial panel data based on revealing the spatial-temporal characteristics of the two. The results show that the ageing level in rural China from 2005 to 2021 exhibited a rapidly rising trend and an unbalanced distribution pattern with decreasing spatial agglomeration, while the evolution of NGAP followed an upward and then downward trend, with an increasing degree of spatial agglomeration. Under the food security strategy, rural ageing has a significant dampening effect on NGAP, which mainly stems from the partial mediating roles of the increase in the area of farmland per labourer and agricultural-related fiscal investment. In light of the future trend of population ageing in rural China, targeted measures are needed to stabilize grain production and guarantee national food security.

Source: Foods

DOI: 10.3390/foods14071214

Authors: Yuanzhi Guo, Yuan Tian

Institutions: Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research

Language: English

Topic: Regional Development and Environment

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Zero hunger, Decent work and economic growth

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $3,499