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Machine learning based association between inflammation indicators (NLR, PLR, NPAR, SII, SIRI, and AISI) and all-cause mortality in arthritis patients with hypertension: NHANES 1999–2018

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Background: This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between CBC-derived inflammatory markers (NLR, PLR, NPAR, SII, SIRI, and AISI) and all-cause mortality (ACM) risk in arthritis (AR) patients with hypertensive (HTN) using data from the NHANES. Methods: We employed weighted multivariable logistic regression and WQS regression to explore the relationship between inflammatory markers and ACM in AR patients, as well as to determine the weights of different markers. Kaplan-Meier curves, restricted cubic splines (RCS) and ROC curves were utilized to monitor cumulative survival differences, non-linear relationships and diagnostic utility of the markers for ACM risk, respectively. Key markers were selected using XGBoost and LASSO regression machine learning methods, and a nomogram prognostic model was constructed and evaluated through calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: < 0.01). RCS models revealed non-linear correlations between NPAR (Pnon-linear<0.01) and SIRI (Pnon-linear<0.01) with ACM risk, showing a sharp mortality risk increase when NPAR >148.56 and SIRI >1.51. A prognostic model using NPAR and SIRI optimally predicted overall survival. Conclusion: These results underscore the necessity of monitoring and managing NPAR and SIRI indicators in clinical settings for AR patients with HTN, potentially improving patient survival outcomes.
Language: English
Subfield: Oncology
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,801
OpenAlex ID: W4409160318
FWCI: 5.813
Cites: 33
Cited by: 16
Related to: 10