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Predicting vessel recanalization in extracranial internal carotid artery dissection: a nomogram based on ultrasonography and clinical features

Year: 2025
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Background: Extracranial internal carotid artery dissection (EICAD) is a prominent factor in ischemic stroke in young patients, and vessel recanalization is correlated with stroke recurrence. We propose to determine the possible association between carotid duplex ultrasound (CDU) features, clinical factors, and vessel recanalization in EICAD patients. Methods: = 60). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to build a nomogram to predict recanalization. At last, we assessed the performance of the nomogram with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). Results: The nomogram included CDU features (intramural hematoma, Intraluminal thrombus, and stenosis degree) and age, with AUC values of 0.906 (95% CI: 0.857-0.946) and 0.903 (95% CI: 0.820-0.963) in the training cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. Using a probability cutoff of 0.5 derived from the Youden index, patients were stratified into high-risk (recanalization probability <50%) and low-risk groups (≥50%). DCA showed that the nomogram performed significantly better across various threshold probabilities, and CIC demonstrated that the nomogram offers superior net benefit across a broad range of threshold probabilities, indicating its significant predictive value. Conclusion: A nomogram depended on CDU and clinical features could accurately predict recanalization in EICAD patients. The nomogram may facilitate early identification of high-risk patients and personalized therapeutic strategies.
Language: English
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,801
OpenAlex ID: W4409206039
FWCI:
Cites: 31
Cited by:
Related to: 10