Analyze the Trend of China's Real Estate Market from the Current Market and the Japanese Bubble Economy
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: This article predicts potential future trends in China’s housing market by analyzing past housing price fluctuations and the bubble economy in Japan during the 1980s. The study focuses on the price of second-hand homes rather than new houses. Through a detailed analysis of various data and drawing lessons from Japan’s experience, the paper concludes that housing prices in China are likely to continue declining in the future. Furthermore, there is a significant possibility of a bubble economy bursting, similar to what occurred in Japan. The paper warns of this impending crisis, urging stakeholders to prepare in advance. Given the escalating regulatory interventions and economic challenges confronting China's real estate sector, the likelihood of a housing bubble rupture poses significant risks to the broader economy. Consequently, it is imperative to implement preemptive strategies at this juncture to alleviate the prospective economic repercussions that may ensue from such a crisis.
Author: Yuan Dai
Institution: Shanghai University
Language: English
Topic: Housing Market and Economics
Subfield: Economics and Econometrics
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W4409210769