Work

Subject Modeling-Based Analysis of the Evolution and Intervention Strategies of Major Emerging Infectious Disease Events

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Objective: Due to the popularity of the Internet and the extensive use of new media, after the occurrence of infectious diseases, the spread of social media information greatly affects the group's opinion and cognition and even the health behaviors they take, thus affecting the spread of infectious diseases. Therefore, this paper studies the event evolution from multiple dimensions. Methods: To address this gap, we developed a three-layer model framework of major infectious disease event evolution based on subject modeling. This framework integrates three key factors-health transmission, perspective interaction, and risk perception-to analyze group perspective evolution, behavioral change, and virus transmission processes. The model's effectiveness was evaluated through simulation and sensitivity analysis. In addition, we conducted an empirical analysis by constructing a social media health transmission effect index system to identify the critical factors affecting health transmission. Results: Simulation results reveal that among the three factors, health transmission has the most significant impact on the evolution of group perspectives during infectious disease events. Moreover, the dynamics of public viewpoint evolution influence individual decisions regarding the adoption of non-pharmacological interventions, which are shown to effectively reduce both the transmission rate of the virus and the peak number of infections. Conclusion: The findings of this study enhance our understanding of the complex mechanisms and evolutionary pathways in infectious disease events. By integrating multiple dimensions of event evolution, the proposed model offers valuable insights for the design of effective countermeasures and strategies in emergency management and response to infectious disease outbreaks.

Source: Risk Management and Healthcare Policy

DOI: 10.2147/rmhp.s507704

Authors: Haixiang Guo, Tiantian Zhao, Yuzhe Zou, Beijia Zhang, Yuyan Cheng

Institution: China University of Geosciences

Language: English

Topic: Public Relations and Crisis Communication

Subfield: Communication

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,836