The Bayesian sinking in Porticello: a predictable convective windstorm?
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: The meteorological phenomenon that led to the Bayesian yacht sinking in Sicily at 0206 utc on 19 August 2024 is here investigated. A thunderstorm occurred during the sinking, but uncertainties exist whether a waterspout or a convective windstorm affected the ship. An in‐depth analysis of available observations highlighted that the ship was likely struck by a convective windstorm. The predictability of the event was also investigated. Operational simulations performed with the high‐resolution numerical model ICON initialised one day ahead pointed out that a convective wind gust hazard was predicted over the southern Tyrrhenian Sea during that night.
Source: Weather
DOI: 10.1002/wea.7715
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $1,880
Funder: NextGenerationEU
Award: G1489508868
OpenAlex ID: W4409447013