Work

Seasonal Temperatures and Economic Growth in the United Kingdom

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT We study the effect of seasonal temperature on economic growth using spatiotemporal econometric techniques and council‐level data for the United Kingdom (UK). We find that higher temperatures during summer reduce economic growth, whereas milder winters raise output growth. These effects are amplified in wealthy local councils on the Southern axis of the UK. Also, we find that local economic growth is related to growth in neighbouring councils. The results are robust to several sensitivity analyses. They are persistent and not driven by unobservable factors related to regional economic conditions. Our findings provide new insights into the consequences of future warming in advanced economies.

Source: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

DOI: 10.1111/obes.12681

Authors: Lotanna E. Emediegwu, Veronica Vienne, Jubril Animashaun

Institutions: Manchester Metropolitan University, University of Huddersfield, University of Manchester

Language: English

Topic: Climate Change Policy and Economics

Subfield: Economics and Econometrics

Field: Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Decent work and economic growth

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $3,840