Work

Future projection of East Asian atmospheric rivers in high-resolution climate models

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in East Asia play a critical role in extreme precipitation during the East Asian summer monsoon. While ARs are projected to increase in a warming climate, their regional changes in East Asia remain unclear. This study investigates future changes in East Asian ARs using high-resolution climate model simulations. Results show a robust increase in East Asian AR frequency and associated precipitation in the near future (2025-2050). East Asian ARs are also projected to become more intense and persistent, with a considerable increase in associated extreme precipitation. Such changes are primarily driven by thermodynamic processes, with dynamic processes playing a secondary role. This finding helps to better understand future changes in extreme precipitation in East Asia.

Source: Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100776

Authors: Yeeun Kwon, Seok-Woo Son

Institution: Seoul National University

Language: English

Topic: Climate variability and models

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Climate action

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $3,969