Work

A new indicator can assess absorption capacity for carbon dioxide and ocean acidification

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: The ocean has absorbed 25% of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions over the past 40 years, effectively slowing atmospheric carbon dioxide growth but causing ocean acidification. As acidification intensifies, the seawater absorption capacity for carbon dioxide will decline. While the Revelle factor has been used to assess carbon dioxide absorption, it becomes inapplicable at pH < 7.5. Here, we propose a new factor, γCO2, to better measure the absorption capacity for carbon dioxide and acidification. γCO2 decreases with increased partial pressure of carbon dioxide and decreased pH, indicating reduced absorption capacity and intensified acidification. In 2020, global surface ocean γCO2 was 15.50 ± 0.21, a 13% decline since 1992. Projections under SSP5-8.5 anticipate an average γCO2 of 4.72 by 2100, with 61.5% of global ocean regions below the critical threshold of γCO2 = 3.0, potentially harming aragonite-based organisms. A new factor, γCO2, can effectively measure ocean absorption capacity for carbon dioxide and acidification as ocean acidification intensifies, according to calculations using global temperature and salinity data.

Source: Communications Earth & Environment

DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02380-4