Work

PM2.5 Pollution, Retail Trading, and Stock Market Returns

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: PM2.5 is a dangerous airborne pollutant. Its induced health and economic losses affect investors and stock markets worldwide. This study applies mediation analyses to examine the relationship of Bangkok’s PM2.5 pollution with Thai stock market returns, where retail trading serves as a mediator. Investors are unaware of the actual PM2.5 level, therefore, the PM2.5 level is a perceived level, not an actual level. Perception is measured by Google’s relative search volume index on “PM 2.5”. It is decomposed into correct perception (actual PM2.5 level) and misperception (regression residual of the full perception on the correct perception). Using a daily sample from August 1, 2016, to December 28, 2023, the generalized method of moments regression uncovered a negative and significant relationship. The main contributor was found to be the mediating effect of retail net buying volume induced by misperception. Further investigation suggests that this relationship is consistent with the noise-trader-risk explanation.
Source: ABAC Journal
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W4410715362
FWCI:
Cites: 42
Cited by:
Related to: 10