Towards an Indicator-Based Morphological Informality Model for Sub-Saharan Africa Using Open Building Footprint and Road Data (Version 1)
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: . This study addresses the challenge of accurately mapping informal settlements, which are home to over a billion people globally. Current maps often simplify these areas into binary categories, ignoring the nuanced dimensions of deprivation. The research focuses on ”unplanned urbanization,” a key domain in informal settlement mapping, and proposes a method to classify morphological informality into three deprivation levels (low, medium, and high) based on two subdomains: small, dense structures (SDS) and irregular settlement layouts (ISL). The methodology involves analyzing building footprints and road network data using urban morphometrics, clustering these metrics into subdomains with k-means, and validating results with community-sourced reference data. Tested in Nairobi, Kenya, and Lagos, Nigeria, the model achieves good performance (F1 > 65 for indicator maps) but faces challenges in the medium informality class, particularly in Nairobi, where community feedback diverges significantly. Despite an overall accuracy of 48 % for Nairobi and 60 % for Lagos, the model offers a framework for continuous improvement. This work highlights the value of integrating local perspectives into mapping efforts and provides a scalable, transferable approach for identifying levels of morphological informality.
Authors: Sebastian Hafner, Qunshan Zhao, Angela Abascal, Manuella Comerio de Paulo, Grant Tregonning, Alexandra Middleton, Adenike Shonowo, Monika Kuffer, Ryan Engstrom, Dana R. Thomson, Francis C. Onyambu, Caroline Kabaria, Peter Elias, Oluwatoyin Odulana, Bunmi Alugbin, Kehinde Baruwa, João Porto de Albuquerque
Institutions: Urban Big Data Centre, University of Glasgow, Universidad Pública de Navarra (UPNA), Universidad de Navarra, University of Warwick, International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, George Washington University, Columbia University, African Population and Health Research Center, University of Lagos
Language: English
Subfield: Urban Studies
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: diamond
OpenAlex ID: W4410728468
