Work

Evaluating Estimator Performance Under Multicollinearity: A Trade-Off Between MSE and Accuracy in Logistic, Lasso, Elastic Net, and Ridge Regression with Varying Penalty Parameters

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Multicollinearity in logistic regression models can result in inflated variances and yield unreliable estimates of parameters. Ridge regression, a regularized estimation technique, is frequently employed to address this issue. This study conducts a comparative evaluation of the performance of 23 established ridge regression estimators alongside Logistic Regression, Elastic-Net, Lasso, and Generalized Ridge Regression (GRR), considering various levels of multicollinearity within the context of logistic regression settings. Simulated datasets with high correlations (0.80, 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99) and real-world data (municipal and cancer remission) were analyzed. Both results show that ridge estimators, such as kAL1, kAL2, kKL1, and kKL2, exhibit strong performance in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE) and accuracy, particularly in smaller samples, while GRR demonstrates superior performance in large samples. Real-world data further confirm that GRR achieves the lowest MSE in highly collinear municipal data, while ridge estimators and GRR help prevent overfitting in small-sample cancer remission data. The results underscore the efficacy of ridge estimators and GRR in handling multicollinearity, offering reliable alternatives to traditional regression techniques, especially for datasets with high correlations and varying sample sizes.

Source: Stats

DOI: 10.3390/stats8020045

Authors: H. M. Nayem, Sinha Aziz, B. M. Golam Kibria

Institution: Florida International University

Language: English

Topic: Advanced Statistical Methods and Models

Subfield: Statistics and Probability

Field: Mathematics

Domain: Physical Sciences

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $1,930

Funder: Strong