Work

Hysteresis in ocean export production owing to CO2 forcing

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: To mitigate global warming, reducing greenhouse gases is crucial. While ocean meridional overturning circulation, dissolved oxygen, and sea surface temperature are irreversible despite CO 2 reductions, the irreversibility of ocean export production is less understood. This study examines this phenomenon using CO 2 removal scenarios in the LOVECLIM model. The experiment quadrupled CO 2 from 367 ppm over 140 years at 1% per year, then decreased it at the same rate, followed by a 5,000-year restoration period. The ocean export production decreased in the tropics and North Atlantic but increased in polar regions. Production lagged in response to CO 2 changes, being more pronounced during the decrease. The key factors include rising ocean temperatures, melting sea ice, and weakened global ocean circulation. Recovery periods can last up to 1,300 years globally, particularly in the Southern Ocean, with shorter periods in the tropics and North Atlantic. The Southern Ocean requires special attention owing to its long-term changes.
Language: English
Subfield: Oceanography
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,690
OpenAlex ID: W4413109098
FWCI:
Cites: 51
Cited by:
Related to: 10