Year: 2025
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: This study looks at the impact of the US-China trade war on Nigeria's economic development, with an emphasis on trade performance, economic stability, and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. Based on the Ricardian Theory of Comparative Advantage, the research investigates how interruptions in global trade flows induced by retaliatory tariffs and economic tensions between the two giants affect developing countries such as Nigeria. Data were obtained using a quantitative study approach, with structured questionnaires distributed to 100 lecturers at the Federal Polytechnic, Bida, who were chosen using stratified random selection. Descriptive and inferential statistical approaches, such as Pearson correlation and linear regression, were used for analysis. The trade war has a significant positive link with Nigeria's trade performance, resulting in interruptions in trade flows, increased import costs, and decreased exports. Global commodity price variations have a considerable impact on Nigeria's economic stability, particularly given the country's reliance on crude oil exports. Trade uncertainty had a minor but substantial effect on FDI inflows. To mitigate external shocks, the study suggests economic diversification beyond crude oil, improved domestic investment climates, and more involvement in regional trade frameworks such as AfCFTA. Strengthening fiscal and monetary policy is also necessary to reduce vulnerabilities caused by global economic shocks.
Author: Adedeji Daniel Gbadebo
Institution: Walter Sisulu University
Language: English
Topic: Global trade and economics
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $150
OpenAlex ID: W4413126198