Work

Exploring farmers’ seasonal climate forecast needs: Co-producing forecasts for food security

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Seasonal climate forecasts (SCFs) are explored as an additional tool for farmers to use to act against seasonal climate fluctuations and to support greater food security for themselves and their customers. In this study, we compared the SCF needs and possible emerging farming actions of commercial farmers and smallholder farmers while exploring the prospects for developing SCF tools to aid farmers. Our intent was not to produce a new SCF, but to improve the farmers’ reception, understanding and uptake of existing SCFs. The results show that both farmer groups saw value in SCFs in improving their farming actions (and, by implication, improving their food security) and provided detailed information on their specific SCF needs to support their decision-making, such as how to improve trust, the type of information they would like to receive, how to make SCFs more understandable, and how to make SCFs relevant for their farming actions. The needs of the two groups differed marginally, but the major barrier for smallholder farmers was SCF access as a result of a lack of smartphones and network coverage.

Source: South African Journal of Science

DOI: 10.17159/sajs.2025/18998

Authors: Andrew Thatcher, Olivier Crespo, Peter Johnston, Ammaarah Darsot

Institutions: University of the Witwatersrand, University of Cape Town

Language: English

Topic: Climate change impacts on agriculture

Subfield: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

Field: Agricultural and Biological Sciences

Domain: Life Sciences

SDGs: Zero hunger, Climate action

Open Access status: diamond

Funder: National Research Foundation