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How confident are you in the ability of experts to provide reliable information? Evidence from a choice experiment on microplastics

Year: 2025
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Policy making in areas of scientific uncertainty may be shaped by the public’s stated preferences (SP). SP surveys provide respondents with information about the scenario, typically from expert sources. Here, we tested whether respondents’ pre-existing confidence in the ability of experts in general to provide reliable information was associated with (a) status quo bias, (b) response certainty and (c) willingness to pay (WTP) estimates. Using 670 responses to a 2020 choice experiment on microplastic restrictions in the UK, we show that being ex ante more confident was significantly related to less frequent status quo choices and higher response certainty. However, we only observed differences in mean WTP for our ‘microplastics released’ attribute. Our findings suggest that confidence in expert-provided information shapes how respondents engage with SP surveys, particularly in contexts of scientific uncertainty. Future work to further understand determinants and consequences of perceived expert trustworthiness would be insightful.
Author: Peter King
Institution: University of Leeds
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,550
OpenAlex ID: W4413356445
FWCI: 0.942
Cites: 89
Cited by: 1
Related to: 10