Work

Estimating Skewness and Kurtosis for Asymmetric Heavy-Tailed Data: A Regression Approach

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Estimating skewness and kurtosis from real-world data remains a long-standing challenge in actuarial science and financial risk management, where these higher-order moments are critical for capturing asymmetry and tail risk. Traditional moment-based estimators are known to be highly sensitive to outliers and often fail when the assumption of normality is violated. Despite numerous extensions—from robust moment-based methods to quantile-based measures—being proposed over the decades, no universally satisfactory solution has been reported, and many existing methods exhibit limited effectiveness, particularly under challenging distributional shapes. In this paper we propose a novel method that jointly estimates skewness and kurtosis based on a regression adaptation of the Cornish–Fisher expansion. By modeling the empirical quantiles as a cubic polynomial of the standard normal variable, the proposed approach produces a reliable and efficient estimator that better captures distributional shape without strong parametric assumptions. Our comprehensive simulation studies show that the proposed method performs much better than existing estimators across a wide range of distributions, especially when the data are skewed or heavy-tailed, as is typical in actuarial and financial applications.
Source: Mathematics
Institution: Yonsei University
Language: English
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,137
OpenAlex ID: W4413375791
FWCI: 7.65
Cites:
Cited by: 9
Related to: 10