Work

Deep Learning-Based Predictive Modeling For Extreme Weather Events Under Climate Change

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events due to climate change necessitate accurate predictive models for mitigation and adaptation. This paper proposes a novel deep learning (DL) framework integrating Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) networks and attention mechanisms for spatio-temporal prediction of extreme events (heatwaves, floods, hurricanes). Leveraging multi-source climate reanalysis data (ERA5, CMIP6 projections) and remote sensing imagery, the model captures complex non-linear patterns and teleconnections often missed by traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and statistical methods. Evaluated on global datasets spanning 1980-2023, our approach reduces Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) by 32% for heatwave intensity prediction and improves hurricane trajectory accuracy by 28% compared to ECMWF-IFS benchmarks. The model demonstrates robust skill in 2050 climate projections under RCP 8.5, highlighting its potential for climate resilience planning. Implementation challenges and scalability solutions are discussed.
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W4413520698
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