Low-Cost, High-Volume Health Services Contribute the Most to Unnecessary Health Spending due to Low-Value Care in Japan
Year: 2025
Type: preprint
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Importance As healthcare costs continue to rise, high-income countries—including Japan—face the urgent task of reducing healthcare spending incurred by low-value care. However, evidence is limited as to which low-value care services contribute most to unnecessary healthcare spending outside of the United States. Objective To identify which low-value care services contribute the most to unnecessary healthcare spending in Japan. Design, Setting, and Participants The cross-sectional study of all beneficiaries using a population-based claims database from April 1, 2022, to March 31, 2023, encompassing all age groups, reflecting approximately 2% of the total Japanese population. Main Outcomes and Measures We identified 52 low-value care services based on clinical evidence, and examined their contributions to healthcare spending using two versions of claims-based measures with different sensitivities and specificities (broader and narrower definitions). Each service was categorized into four groups based on its average per-service price: very low (<1,000 Japanese yen [JPY] = 8 US dollars [USD] in 2022), low (1,000–9,999 JPY), medium (10,000–99,999 JPY), or high (≥100,000 JPY). Results Among 1,923,484 beneficiaries (mean [SD] age 58.6 [23.5] years; 52.7% female), we identified 3.1 million (narrower definition) to 3.7 million (broader definition) episodes of low-value care services (1.6–1.9 per capita), with 36–40% of patients receiving at least one low-value care service. These services accounted for 0.7–1.0% of total healthcare spending, amounting to 207–331 billion JPY (1.7–2.6 billion USD) when extrapolated nationwide with adjustments for age, sex, and region. When applying narrower definitions, over 99% of low-value care episodes involved very-low-cost or low-cost services, which accounted for 67% of unnecessary healthcare spending—far exceeding the 33% attributed to medium-cost or high-cost services. Conclusion and Relevance Over one in three Japanese individuals received low-value care during 2022-2023, contributing to 0.7–1.0% of total healthcare spending. Among these services, low-cost services contributed to virtually all low-value care utilization and over two-thirds of unnecessary healthcare spending. Compared to focusing solely on high-cost services, targeting the reduction of frequently performed, lower-cost services may be a more effective strategy for reducing wasteful spending. KEY POINTS Question Which low-value care services—low-cost or high-cost—contribute most to unnecessary healthcare spending in Japan? Findings In a cross-sectional study of nearly two million beneficiaries examining 52 low-value care services, over one-third received at least one such service during a one-year period, accounting for 0.7–1.0% of total healthcare spending. More than 99% of episodes were very-low- or low-cost services, accounting for over two-thirds of low-value care spending, exceeding spending from medium- and high-cost services. Meaning Focusing on frequently performed, lower-cost services may better reduce wasteful healthcare spending than targeting only high-cost services.
Source: medRxiv
Language: English
Subfield: General Health Professions
Field: Health Professions
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4413638889