Work

Implementation and validation of a supermodeling framework into Community Earth System Model version 2.1.5

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: . Here we present a framework for the first atmosphere-connected supermodel using state-of-the-art atmospheric models. The Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) versions 5 and 6 exchange information interactively while running, a process known as supermodeling. The primary goal of this approach is to synchronize the models, allowing them to compensate for each other's systematic errors in real-time, in part by increasing the dimentionality of the system. In this study, we examine a single untrained supermodel where each model version is equally weighted in creating pseudo-observations. We demonstrate that the models synchronize well without decreased variability, particularly in storm track regions, across multiple timescales and for variables where no information has been exchanged. Synchronization is less pronounced in the tropics, and in regions of lesser synchronization we observe a decrease in high-frequency variability. Additionally, the low-frequency modes of variability (North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific North American Pattern) are not degraded compared to the base models. For some variables, the mean bias is reduced compared to control simulations of each model version as well as the non-interactive ensemble mean.

Source: Geoscientific model development

DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-5451-2025