Work

The limits of epidemiological models of misinformation

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Empirical social sciences routinely model misinformation as exhibiting dynamics analogous to vaccinable diseases or contagious outbreaks, as in inoculation theory and other epidemiological models. However, idiosyncratic features of the social construction of misinformation violate the biological analogy in significant ways, rendering these models far weaker in effect size, predictive accuracy, and explanatory power than has been claimed. Four arguments are discussed regarding problems with the ontology of misinformation posited in these models, methods for measuring misinformation, individuation of mechanisms, and application of interventions. A conclusion is drawn that model transfer from biology has often been unwarranted in misinformation studies and that alternative methods should be pursued instead.
Source: Synthese
Institution: Lingnan University
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,190
OpenAlex ID: W4414090332
FWCI: 1.796
Cites: 45
Cited by: 1
Related to: 10