PDO-Modulated ENSO Impact on Southern South China Sea Winter SST: Multi-Anticyclone Synergy
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: El Niño fundamentally elevates the southern South China Sea (SSCS) winter sea surface temperature (SST), and this relationship exhibits significant interdecadal modulation by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Correlation analyses reveal a negative linkage between El Niño-SSCS SST relationship and PDO index (r = −0.5, p < 0.05). Mechanistically, negative PDO phase reconfigures the multi-anticyclone system: a weaker and northeastward-shifted Philippine Sea anticyclone (PSAC, 25° poleward), dissipating northern Indian Ocean anticyclone (NIOAC) and persistent southeastern Indian Ocean anticyclone (SEIOAC) through a reduction in Aleutian low and El Niño intensity. In the negative-minus-positive PDO phase composite, this drives anomalous southerlies/southwesterlies over the SSCS, establishing a zonal SST dipole (west-cooling/east-warming; −0.1 °C/+0.2 °C east/west of 108° E). Ekman dynamics (positive/negative wind stress curl west/east of 108° E), horizontal heat advection and latent heat flux (driven by southwesterly wind) dominate the SST dipole formation. From December to February, Aleutian low suppression and El Niño decay progressively modify the multi-anticyclone system configuration and replace southerly anomalies with northerlies, reducing regional warm SST in the N-P composite. The multi-anticyclone system thus mediates SSCS SST interannual variability, with critical implications for marine predictability under climate oscillations.
DOI: 10.3390/jmse13091741
Authors: Zhaoyun Wang, Yanyan Wang, Mingpan Qiu, Yimin Zhang, Guosheng Zhang, Wenjing Dong
Institution: Hainan Tropical Ocean University
Language: English
Subfield: Global and Planetary Change
Field: Environmental Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,137
OpenAlex ID: W4414094267