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A Fractional Integration Model and Testing Procedure with Roots Within the Unit Circle

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: In this paper we propose a statistical model that combines both autoregressions and fractional differentiation in a unified treatment. However, instead of imposing that the roots are strictly on the unit circle, we also allow them to be within the unit circle. This permits a higher degree of flexibility in the specification of the model, with rates of dependence combining exponential with hyperbolic decays. Monte Carlo experiments and empirical applications to climatological and financial data show that the proposed approach performs well.

Source: Mathematics

DOI: 10.3390/math13182978

Authors: Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis A. Gil-Alana