Silent past: Biogeographic gaps in the Cenozoic fossil archive
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Exposed sedimentary rocks—key to preserving fossil evidence—are unevenly distributed across space and time, limiting our understanding of past climates and ecosystems. In this study, we quantified the extent of "lost" areas where sedimentary layers are no longer exposed, analysing gaps by climate zone and geological time. Using Chorlton’s global geological map, we reconstructed the distribution of exposed sedimentary rocks at their time of deposition and linked them with palaeoclimate data from the HadCM3 model, classified using the Köppen-Geiger system. We compared this with fossil occurrence data from the Paleobiology Database (PBDB) to assess discrepancies between preserved rock distributions and recorded fossils. Our results reveal that over 72% of past continental areas are missing from the current sedimentary record. Tropical and arid zones are over-represented, while temperate, cold, and polar zones are under-represented. This indicates a significant preservation bias, potentially skewing our understanding of evolution by favouring organisms from certain climates. These findings highlight that major portions of Earth’s biological history are permanently lost due to preservation limitations—not merely from lack of sampling—emphasising the need to account for these biases in studies of biodiversity, macroevolution, and species’ responses to climate change.
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDGs: Climate action, Life on land
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,210
Funders: Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung, Universidade de Vigo, Xunta de Galicia, Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, European Research Council, European Regional Development Fund, H2020 European Research Council, Consorcio Interuniversitario do Sistema Universitario de Galicia
OpenAlex ID: W4414379409
