Work

Prediction of electron fluxes in a circular polar orbit: Selection of predictors

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: We have investigated the relationship of variations in >0.7 and >2 MeV electron fluxes of Earth's outer radiation belt in a circular polar orbit with solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters, as well as with geomagnetic indices and the logarithmic electron flux in the geostationary orbit in order to explore the possibility of predicting them. We have selected the optimal input features for predicting electron fluxes in low polar orbits, which is important for ensuring the radiation safety of future space missions. We have examined integral and maximum electron fluxes of these energies over the span of a day. We have obtained forecasts with a horizon of 1 and 2 days for an interval of 2 months in 2020 for daily maximum and integral fluxes based on linear regression.
Authors: Anastasiya Belova, Irina Myagkova
Language: English
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W4414396231
FWCI:
Cites: 30
Cited by:
Related to: