Work

A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Influencing Factors of Total Factor Productivity in China’s Civil Aviation Industry Considering Carbon Emissions

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: This study evaluates China’s civil aviation total factor productivity (TFP) in 2000–2021, treating carbon emissions as undesirable output via the Global Malmquist–Luenberger (GML) index, with a modified carbon emission estimation coefficient to boost calculation accuracy. Static and dynamic time series regression models analyze short/long-term effects of influencing factors. Results show civil aviation TFP grows ~0.3% annually, stable with cyclical fluctuations, and exhibits dynamic adjustment and mean reversion. Market demand/competition significantly positively affect TFP in both models; technological innovation and capital investment have substantial lagged effects (not significant in the static model). The contributions include three aspects. First, methodological innovation through a revised carbon emission coefficient. Second, theoretical expansion by combining static and dynamic models. Third, macro policy guidance for balancing economic-environmental performance under China’s dual carbon strategy.

Source: Sustainability

DOI: 10.3390/su17198608

Authors: Mengyu Guo, Li Zhang

Institution: Shanghai University of Engineering Science

Language: English

Topic: Efficiency Analysis Using DEA

Subfield: Management Science and Operations Research

Field: Decision Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Climate action, Industry, innovation and infrastructure

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,896