The Multidimensional Impact of Inflation: A Panel Data Analysis of Socioeconomic Effects in North African Countries
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: This article analyzes the macro-social effects of inflation in Morocco, Tunisia, Algeria, Egypt and Mauritania over 1990–2023 using a panel VAR with system-GMM. We document that moderate inflation is associated with higher GDP growth and lower unemployment in the short run, while it depresses real consumption per capita (our poverty proxy), implying higher poverty in the absence of compensating social policies. Inflation also crowds out investment, consistent with risk and cost channels. These results highlight the need to contain inflation volatility and shield vulnerable households, while preserving a price environment supportive of activity.
DOI: 10.14419/vk7s9x48
Authors: Oumari Loubna, Adamou Illou Mohamed, Es-Salmani Mourad, Es-Sanoun Mohamed
Institution: Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University
Language: English
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W4414967847
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