Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: In Bayesian statistics the prior distributions play a key role for the inference, and there are procedures for finding prior distributions. An important problem is that these procedures often lead to improper prior distributions, that cannot be normalized to probability measures. Such improper prior distributions lead to technical problems in that certain calculations are only fully justified in the literature for probability measures or perhaps for finite measures. Recently, expectation measures were introduced as an alternative to probability measures as a foundation for a theory of uncertainty. Using expectation theory and point processes, it is possible to give a probabilistic interpretation of an improper prior distribution. This will provide us with a rigid formalism for calculating posterior distributions in cases where the prior distribution is not proper without relying on approximation arguments.
Source: Stats
DOI: 10.3390/stats8040093
Author: Peter Harremoës
Institution: Niels Brock
Language: English
Subfield: Statistics and Probability
Field: Mathematics
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $1,930
OpenAlex ID: W4415008363