Work

Integrating Machine Learning and Fractional-Order Dynamics for Enhanced Psoriasis Prediction and Clinical Decision Support

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: This study introduces a novel hybrid framework that integrates machine learning (ML) with fractional-order differential equations (FDE) to enhance the prediction and clinical management of psoriasis, leveraging real-world data from the UCI Dermatology Dataset. By optimizing ML models, particularly the Voting Ensemble, to inform FDE parameters, and developing a user-friendly graphical user interface (GUI) for real-time diagnostics, the approach bridges computational efficiency with physiological realism, capturing memory-dependent disease progression beyond traditional integer-order models. Key findings reveal that the Voting Ensemble achieves a precision of 0.986 ± 0.007 and an AUC of 0.992 ± 0.005. At the same time, the fractional-order model, with an optimized order of 0.6781 and a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0031, accurately simulates disease trajectories, closely aligning with empirical trends for features such as Age and SawToothRete. The GUI effectively translates these insights into clinical tools, demonstrating probabilities ranging from 0% to 100% based on input features, supporting early detection and personalized planning. The framework’s robustness and potential for broader application to chronic conditions highlight its significance in advancing healthcare.

Source: AppliedMath

DOI: 10.3390/appliedmath5040143

Authors: David Amilo, Khadijeh Sadri, Evren Hincal, Mohamed Hafez

Institutions: Near East University, Khazar University, Shinawatra University, Nilai University

Language: English

Topic: Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare

Subfield: Health Information Management

Field: Health Professions

Domain: Health Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $1,207