The key role of the Southern Annular Mode during the sea-ice maximum for Antarctic sea ice and its recent loss
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: We provide novel observational insights into the role of the Southern annular mode (SAM) in driving variations in Antarctic sea ice area (SIA). The influence of the SAM on Antarctic SIA exhibits more pronounced seasonality than that indicated in previous work. At the time of the sea ice minimum, positive anomalies in the SAM - and thus enhanced westerlies over the high latitude Southern Ocean - lead to increased SIA over the following four months. In contrast, at the time of the sea ice maximum, positive anomalies in the SAM lead to decreased SIA over the following twelve months. Differences in the sign of the SAM-SIA relationship from one season to the next lead to weak contemporaneous relationships between the SAM and SIA in the annual-mean; differences in the persistence from one season to the next lead to an outsized impact of variations in the SAM during the sea-ice maximum on annual-mean SIA. The roughly 12-month persistence of SAM-induced sea ice anomalies following the sea-ice maximum is consistent with both anomalous shortwave radiative feedbacks and heat storage in the upper ocean. It is argued that a notable fraction of the dramatic losses in annual-mean SIA over the past decade can be traced to unprecedented variations in the SAM during the time of the sea-ice maximum.
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,490
Awards: Collaborative Research: Quantifying the Role of the Ocean Circulation in Climate Variability, G2833614051, New perspectives on Arctic Sea Ice Variability in the 20th Century, Understanding the Influence of Climate Change on Temperature Persistence, Collaborative Research: Assessing the Causal Influence of Atmospheric Opacity and Sea Ice on Arctic Warming in a Novel Circulation-controlled Framework
OpenAlex ID: W4415407722
