Work

Transforming Data and Capacity-Limited Stock Assessment: Achieving Risk Equivalence with Hierarchical Assessment Frameworks and Auxiliary Data

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Ensuring the sustainability of fisheries worldwide requires that scientific advice remain effective even when data and capacity are limited. To address these challenges, we propose a hierarchical assessment framework (HAF) capable of integrating auxiliary information, such as empirical indicators for fishing pressure, within a Bayesian state-space biomass dynamic modelling framework. The aim is to provide risk-equivalent advice to ensure that management does not penalise data-limited fisheries with undue precaution (and loss of potential yield), nor expose them to a higher risk of overexploitation. To achieve this, we evaluated performance using classification skill metrics, such as true skill, for stock status relative to maximum sustainable yield (MSY)-based reference points. Results demonstrate that incorporating auxiliary data, particularly fishing mortality indices from periods of high exploitation, substantially improves the accuracy of stock status classification. Adoption of hierarchical assessment frameworks will support targeted data collection and evidence-based, adaptive fisheries management.

Source: Sustainability

DOI: 10.3390/su17219383

Authors: Laurence T. Kell, Massimiliano Cardinale, Iago Mosqueira, Henning Winker, Rishi Sharma

Institutions: Imperial College London, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Wageningen Marine Research, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Language: English

Topic: Marine and fisheries research

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Life below water

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,896