Work

Exploring rates and timing of new agricultural practices with the ADOPT tool

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: As interest in the impact of climate‐smart agricultural practices grows, it is increasingly important to understand how much practice adoption to expect, how long it will take for certain practices to be adopted, and where adoption of these practices may be most likely. Many current mitigation potential estimates for climate‐smart agricultural practices assume instantaneous, 100% adoption of practices across all croplands, failing to reflect realistic conditions. However, tools like the Adoption Diffusion Outcome Prediction Tool (ADOPT) can help explain and clarify practice adoption dynamics and therefore right‐size mitigation potential estimates. Here, we reviewed and compiled papers that reported ADOPT‐derived predicted peak adoption rates (PPAR) and predicted time to peak (PTTP) adoption for various agricultural innovation types. We summarize PPAR and PTTP across innovations and farmer motivations, providing insights on practice adoption and highlighting the utility of understanding predicted adoption rates and timing of agricultural innovations.

Source: Agricultural & Environmental Letters

DOI: 10.1002/ael2.70038

Authors: Anna M. Raffeld, Emily E. Oldfield, Alison J. Eagle, Cyril Melikov, Doria R. Gordon

Institutions: Environmental Defense Fund, Yale University, University of Florida

Language: English

Topic: Agricultural Innovations and Practices

Subfield: General Agricultural and Biological Sciences

Field: Agricultural and Biological Sciences

Domain: Life Sciences

SDGs: Climate action, Zero hunger

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $1,900