Work

Assessing future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin through dynamical downscaling

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: < 0.05) reduction in TC density in the tropical and central NATL and in the mean annual TC frequency. Although the average annual number of major hurricanes (category 3+) is projected to increase under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, non-statistically significant signals for a change in TC intensity were detected. Furthermore, despite the discrepancies with some previous studies regarding intensity projections, our findings on TC frequency are consistent with a projected trend toward El Niño-like conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

Source: iScience

DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.113609

Authors: Albenis Pérez-Alarcón, Ricardo M. Trigo, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno